Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.187749 0.215980 0.248186 0.287893 0.335875 0.392420 0.464745
2025-06-01 0.142206 0.177690 0.222699 0.285021 0.370774 0.487227 0.662032
2025-06-08 0.114840 0.152076 0.203035 0.279979 0.397122 0.575769 0.883873
2025-06-15 0.100289 0.139195 0.195870 0.287962 0.441199 0.701078 1.213560
2025-06-22 0.086653 0.124596 0.182561 0.282313 0.460609 0.791027 1.523794
2025-06-29 0.077946 0.115681 0.175866 0.285084 0.494018 0.916378 1.972897
2025-07-06 0.069917 0.106489 0.166931 0.281628 0.514264 1.022271 2.443231
2025-07-13 0.064790 0.101215 0.163571 0.287335 0.553912 1.185544 3.184529
2025-07-20 0.060611 0.096923 0.161147 0.294135 0.597670 1.377589 4.184510
2025-07-27 0.056923 0.092981 0.158691 0.300239 0.641617 1.591246 5.492032
2025-08-03 0.053946 0.089924 0.157403 0.308471 0.693368 1.854858 7.357599
2025-08-10 0.050741 0.086063 0.153980 0.311238 0.731994 2.100089 9.539308
2025-08-17 0.047629 0.082120 0.150019 0.312413 0.768205 2.365664 12.417012
2025-08-24 0.044554 0.077947 0.145083 0.310433 0.795417 2.620066 15.899427
2025-08-31 0.041541 0.073598 0.139243 0.305139 0.811235 2.842882 19.855126
2025-09-07 0.039948 0.071924 0.138958 0.314121 0.876892 3.343475 28.625197
2025-09-14 0.037401 0.068060 0.133351 0.307847 0.888727 3.597079 35.904666
2025-09-21 0.035732 0.065866 0.131268 0.310942 0.935977 4.088740 50.288756
2025-09-28 0.033768 0.062877 0.127008 0.307092 0.956201 4.450814 65.913387
2025-10-05 0.032584 0.061451 0.126267 0.313453 1.020036 5.169952 100.163766
2025-10-12 0.031549 0.060253 0.125934 0.321038 1.093083 6.063660 160.697176
2025-10-19 0.030538 0.059020 0.125369 0.327850 1.166756 7.091030 267.276579
2025-10-26 0.029703 0.058110 0.125510 0.337044 1.257020 8.444909 492.878251